ประกาศข่าวแผ่นดินไหว(&การคาดการณ์)

ช่วงหยุดยาววันมาฆะ ระวังตัวกันหน่อย คาดการณ์ 6.2-7.5 ริกเตอร์

จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 17 กุมภาพันธ์ คศ 2011 : Update 14 กุมภาพันธ์ 2011



ดูอ้างอิงจากข้อมูลข้างล่างได้เลยจ้า

ระดับความรุนแรง:มาก
ช่วงเวลา:

Tue, 2011-02-08 - Mon, 2011-02-28

ในช่วงนี้เราจะเริ่มจากดูปฏิกริยาของพระอาทิตย์ในวันที่ 9 กุมภาพันธ์ ซึ่งจะมีการเรียงตัวระหว่าง ดวงอาทิตย์ ดาวพุธ และ ดาวพฤหัส ในมุม 90 องศา ซึ่งคาดการณ์ว่าจะมีปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ขนาดปานกลาง จะส่งผลต่อโลกในระดับปานกลางในวันที่ 9-10 หรือ ในวันที่ 12-13 กุมภาพันธ์ update : วันที่ 11 กุมภาพันธ์ก็เกิดแผ่นดินไหวขนาดใหญ่เช่นกัน และเป็นวันที่ โลก เรียงตัวกับ ดวงจันทร์ และ ดวงอาทิตย์ ในแนว 90 องศา





หลังจากนั้นจะมีการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์แนวหลัก

ในวันที่ 18 กุมภาพันธ์ระหว่าง ควงอาทิตย์ โลก และ ดาวอังคาร ในแนว 180 องศา
และ

การเรียงตัวระหว่าง พระอาทิตย์ วีนัส และ ดาวพุธ ในมุม 90 องศา

ซึ่งเราคาดว่าจะเริ่มเห็นปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ตั้งแต่วันที่ 15 กุมภาพันธ์ เป็นต้นไป ซึ่งคาดว่าโลกจะได้รับผลกระทบระหว่างวันที่ 16-22 กุมภาพันธ์

มีความน่าจะเป็นสูงที่จะเกิดแผ่นดินไหวขนาด 6.2-7.5 ริตเตอร์ ในช่วงวันที่ 17-20 กุมภาพันธ์ ซึ่งก็ขึ้นกับทิศทางของพลังงานจากพระอาทิตย์ นอกจากนั้นก็ควรจับตาสถานการณ์สภาพอากาศแปรปรวนเป็นพิเศษ







ในวันที่ 25 กุมภาพันธ์ จะมีการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์อีกครั้งระหว่าง

ดวงอาทิตย์ ดาวพุธ และ โลก



ซึ่งคาดว่าจะเกิดปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ในระดับ ปานกลาง ถีง มาก และโลกจะได้รับผลกระทบตั้งแต่วันที่ 25-27 ตุลาคม แต่อาจจะไม่มากเท่าช่วง 16-22 กุมภาพันธ์

 

มีไหวแต่ไกล แถวพม่า

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#336699"><td width="130" nowrap="nowrap">วัน-เวลา</td> <td width="30" nowrap="nowrap">ขนาด</td> <td width="40" nowrap="nowrap">lat</td> <td width="40" nowrap="nowrap">long</td> <td width="20" nowrap="nowrap">phase</td> <td width="120" nowrap="nowrap">บริเวณที่เกิด</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">ข้อมูลอื่นๆ</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td valign="top">2554-02-14 13:53:08</td> <td valign="top">2.7</td> <td valign="top">19.02</td> <td valign="top">97.32</td> <td align="center" valign="top">6</td> <td valign="top">ประเทศพม่า</td> <td valign="top"> - ทิศตะวันตกเฉียงเหนือของ อ.ขุนยวม จ.แม่ฮ่องสอน ประมาณ 75 กม.</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

ใช่ เดี๋ยวต้องติดตามดู :boo:

 

มาพม่าแระ

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">2011/02/14 23:44:35 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 26.160 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 96.286 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 66.6 </td><td valign="top"> MYANMAR</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 25°N,95°E Skip to earthquake lists

 

ระเบิดครั้งใหญ่มากๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆ classs X2.2

Major Flare (X2.2) / Solar Update
02/15/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:20
Comment on Message Board X2.2 Major Solar Flare - Massive Sunspot 1158 has produced a major X2.2 Class Solar Flare at 01:56 UTC Tuesday. This is the largest Solar Flare of Cycle 24 and a CME could be associated with this event. A strong R3 Radio Blackout has taken place as well. More to follow.
X2.2 Flare captured by GOES SXI (Tuesday)

Solar Flux 113 - The solar flux is again at a new high of 113. This beats out Sunday's reading of 107 and this is the highest it has been since September of 2005.
Solar Update / Aurora Watch - There will continue to be a chance for strong solar flares around Sunspot 1158. This region has a BETA-Gamma magnetic configuration which should keep it very active over the next 24-48 hours.
With all of the flare activity taking place over the past 72 hours, there will be a chance for geomagnetic storming at high latitudes should any effects from CME activity take place. More information will follow should a CME be on its way due to the X2.2 Flare early on Tuesday.
Sunspots (Early Tuesday)


<table border="1" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td background="graphics/solarback2.jpg" width="505">

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 14 2205 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been moderate Region 1158 (S21W14)
produce an M2/1N flare at 14/1745Z associated with a 150 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1479 km/s).
Region 1158 also produced seven C-class events the largest being a
C9 at 14/1253. This region continued to grow throughout the period
and is currently magnetically classified as a Beta-gamma type
spotgroup with an area of 450 millionths.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for an M5 or greater x-ray event for days
one thru three (15-17 February).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. A sudden impulse was
observed at 14/1600Z (12nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS
magnetometer). Solar wind data from the ACE satellite indicated a
shock arrival at 14/1456Z. Solar wind velocities increased to
approximately 410 km/s and total field increased to around 20 nT
following the shock. The source of todays activity is likely an
east limb event that occurred at 11/2146Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods on day one (15 February). There is a slight chance for
isolated minor storm periods on days two and three (16-17 February).
The increase is forecast due to the expected return of a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream and the arrival of a CME from
yesterdays M6 event.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green

</pre></td></tr></tbody></table>

 

14 Feb แผ่นดินไหวแรงที่ภูเขาไฟ St.Helends เป็นการไหวแรงระดับสองตั้งแต่ระเบิด

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-15 04:21:02 - Earthquake - USA

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>EQ-20110215-29571-USA</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-15 04:21:02 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>North-America</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>USA</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>State of Washington, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Mount St. Helens volcano area, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> The second largest earthquake since Mount St. Helens erupted -- a magnitude 4.3 shaker -- rocked a fault line six miles north of the volcano Monday morning. People felt it as far away as Astoria, Lake Oswego, Hood River and even Bremerton, Wash., near Seattle. The last one, as it happens, was 30 years ago also on Valentine's Day, a magnitude 5.5 temblor. That 1981 earthquake appeared to be the result of the earth's crust readjusting after magma oozed up through the fault and blew the mountain's top on May 18, 1980.

Monday's quake was of the "strike-slip variety," said seismologist Seth Moran of the Cascades Volcano Observatory in Vancouver. The large tectonic Juan de Fuca plate is diving beneath the North American plate. At places, the plates get stuck together. An earthquake occurs when the plates slip past each other, releasing energy, he said. More than 900 people reported feeling the 10:35 a.m. earthquake, posting their responses on the U.S. Geologic Survey's "Did you feel it?" page on its website. No damage was reported. "I felt it, and certainly a lot of people here felt it," Moran said. "It was broadly felt, and, for a 4.3, that's appropriate, it was a decent-sized earthquake." Mount St. Helens has rumbled and belched and quaked nearly every day since the May 1980 eruption, averaging one to two earthquakes a day, Moran said. In late January, a swarm of earthquakes was detected in the same general area as Monday's quake, known as the Mount St. Helen's Seismic Zone.

The zone runs from Mount St. Helens 30 miles north to Morton, Wash. The largest quake in that January swarm was a modest magnitude 2.6, he said. Monday's quake, like those previous ones, occurred at a relatively shallow depth of about 3.1 miles. The quake doesn't presage another eruption, or another round of dome-building inside the crater like the action that followed a smaller magma eruption in fall 2004, Moran said. This one was simply a result of tectonic plates clashing beneath the earth's surface along the fault. Still, he said: "Anytime a 4.3 earthquake happens in this area, you pay attention because they're not that common. Realistically, we don't know exactly what's going to happen, but there's a reasonable guess that this was the largest event that we're going to see, and that's based on the fact that we've only had one event that's larger in the past 30 years."
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

14 Feb แผ่นดินไหวเชียงใหม่ด้วย

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="1279"><tbody><tr class="xl88" style="height: 18pt;" height="24"><td rowspan="2" class="xl164" style="border-bottom: 0.5pt solid silver; border-top: medium none;">Date</td> <td class="xl93">Time</td> <td colspan="2" class="xl165" style="border-right: 0.5pt solid silver;"> Location</td> <td class="xl94">Depth</td> <td colspan="2" rowspan="2" class="xl167" style="border-right: 0.5pt solid silver; border-bottom: 0.5pt solid silver;">[FONT=&quot]Magnitude[/FONT]</td> <td colspan="3" rowspan="2" class="xl171" style="border-right: 0.5pt solid silver;">Region Name</td> <td class="xl65"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 18pt;" height="24"> <td class="xl65" style="height: 18pt;" height="24"> </td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td class="xl96">( Local )</td> <td class="xl97"> Lat</td> <td class="xl93"> Long</td> <td class="xl98">( Km )</td> <td class="xl65"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td class="xl65" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> </td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td class="xl99">เดือนปัจจุบัน</td> <td class="xl100">
</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl100" style=""></td> <td colspan="2" class="xl177"> </td> <td class="xl101"></td> <td colspan="2" class="xl103" style=""> </td> <td class="xl104"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl84"> </td> <td class="xl59">
</td> <td class="xl105" style="">
</td> <td colspan="5" style="">
</td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl104"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td class="xl91" style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl186"></td> <td class="xl187" style="font-weight: 400;">14 FEB 11</td> <td class="xl188" style="">21:14:17</td> <td class="xl189" style="color: windowtext; font-weight: 400;">18.848 N</td> <td class="xl190" style="font-weight: 400;">99.161 E</td> <td class="xl191"> </td> <td class="xl192" style="font-weight: 400;" align="left">mb</td> <td class="xl193" style="color: windowtext; font-weight: 400;">2.10</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl194" style="color: black;">อ.ดอยสะเก็ด จเชียงใหม่</td> <td class="xl195"></td> <td colspan="5" class="xl196" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl84"> </td> <td class="xl59">
</td> <td class="xl105" style="">
</td> <td colspan="5" style="">
</td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl104"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl84"> </td> <td class="xl107" style="color: blue; font-weight: 400; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">12 FEB 11</td> <td class="xl108" style="color: blue; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">01:07:08</td> <td class="xl109" style="color: blue; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">18.837 N</td> <td class="xl110" style="color: blue; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">100.232 E</td> <td class="xl111" style="color: blue; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);"> </td> <td class="xl112" style="color: blue; font-weight: 400; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);" align="left">mb</td> <td class="xl113" style="color: blue; font-weight: 400; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">3.30</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl178" style="color: blue; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(204, 255, 255);">อ.เชียงม่วน จ.พะเยา</td> <td class="xl104"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl88" style="">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl88" style="height: 15pt;" height="20"> <td style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl84"> </td> <td class="xl59">
</td> <td class="xl105" style="">
</td> <td colspan="5" style="">
</td> <td class="xl106"> </td> <td class="xl106">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.5 </td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">2011/02/15 07:18:18 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 21.176 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 121.067 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 23.4 </td><td valign="top"> TAIWAN REGION</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 20°N,120°E

Skip to earthquake lists

 

เอาแค่นี้ก่อนเดี๋ยวมาแปลช่วงล่าง

Major Flare (X2.2) / Full Halo CME
02/15/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:20
Comment on Message Board UPDATE - It appears a full halo CME was associated with the X2.2 Flare. I created this Movie with the STEREO website using the COR2 Behind data.
X2.2 makes waves on the sun - Watch Movie


X2.2 Major Solar Flare - The sun showed some love on Valentines Day. Massive Sunspot 1158 has produced a major X2.2 Class Solar Flare at 01:56 UTC Tuesday. This is the largest Solar Flare of Cycle 24 and a CME could be associated with this event. A strong R3 Radio Blackout has taken place as well.

X2.2 Flare captured by GOES SXI (Tuesday)

Solar Flux 113 - The solar flux is again at a new high of 113. This beats out Sunday's reading of 107 and this is the highest it has been since September of 2005.


Solar Update / Aurora Watch - There will continue to be a chance for strong solar flares around Sunspot 1158. This region has a BETA-Gamma magnetic configuration which should keep it very active over the next 24-48 hours.


With all of the flare activity taking place over the past 72 hours, there will be a chance for geomagnetic storming at high latitudes should any effects from CME activity take place. More information will follow should a CME be on its way due to the X2.2 Flare early on Tuesday.


X2.2 การระเบิดครั้งรุนแรงของพระอาทิตย์ - พระอาทิตย์แสดงถึงความรักในวันวาเลนไทน์เมื่อ 01.56 UTC วันอังคาร การระเบิดครั้งนี้เป็นการระเบิดครั้งใหญ่ที่สุดในวัฏจักร 24 และจะมี CME ในการระเบิดครั้งนี้ด้วย และได้เกิด R3 Radio blackout ด้วย


ฟลักซ์ แม่เหล็กของพระอาทิตย์ 113 ได้ทำลายสถิติของลูกก่อนตอนวันอาทิตย์ (เที่ยงคืนกว่าๆ เมืองไทย) และเป็นตัวที่สูงสุดตั้งแต่นับตั้งแต่ กันยา 2005



และยังจะ มีโอกาสที่จะระเบิดแบบรุนแรง รอบๆ จุดดับ 1158 และรอบๆจุดดับ 1158 มีสนามแม่เหล็ก BETA-Gamma ซึ่งจะทำให้จุดนี้ยังครุกรุ่นในช่วง 24-48 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้า


การ ระเบิดทั้งหมดนี้ในรอบ 72 ชั่วโมง จะทำให้มีโอกาสที่จะทำให้เกิด พายุแม่เหล็กโลกที่แลตติจูดสูง และจะมีผลจาก CME ด้วย ยิ่งไปกว่านั้นจะมีตามด้วย CME ซึ่งอยู่ระหว่างการเดินทางของการระเบิด X2.2 เมื่อเช้าตรูของวันอังคารด้วย
(อันนี้เติมเอง คือ ระวังแ่ผ่นดินไหวใหญ่)


Sunspots (Early Tuesday)






Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 14 2205 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been moderate Region 1158 (S21W14)
produce an M2/1N flare at 14/1745Z associated with a 150 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1479 km/s).
Region 1158 also produced seven C-class events the largest being a
C9 at 14/1253. This region continued to grow throughout the period
and is currently magnetically classified as a Beta-gamma type
spotgroup with an area of 450 millionths.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for an M5 or greater x-ray event for days
one thru three (15-17 February).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. A sudden impulse was
observed at 14/1600Z (12nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS
magnetometer). Solar wind data from the ACE satellite indicated a
shock arrival at 14/1456Z. Solar wind velocities increased to
approximately 410 km/s and total field increased to around 20 nT
following the shock. The source of todays activity is likely an
east limb event that occurred at 11/2146Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods on day one (15 February). There is a slight chance for
isolated minor storm periods on days two and three (16-17 February).
The increase is forecast due to the expected return of a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream and the arrival of a CME from
yesterdays M6 event.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green



[Latest Report]

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 6.1 </td><td align="center" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">2011/02/15 13:33:54 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> -2.470 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 121.541 </td><td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap"> 20.6 </td><td valign="top"> SULAWESI, INDONESIA</td></tr></tbody></table>


<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"></td> <td align="center" valign="top" width="30" nowrap="nowrap">


</td> <td valign="top" width="100%"> Green Earthquake Alert Indonesia</td> <td valign="top"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Summary

On 2/15/2011 1:33:53 PM UTC (about 21:40h local time) an earthquake of magnitude 6.1 occurred in the highly populated region of Sulawesi Tengah in Indonesia. The nearest populated places are: Mahalona (11km). The closest civilian airport is Soroako (21km).
Potentially affected critical infrastructure:

• Nuclear plants: [None]
• Hydrodams: [None]
• Airports: Andi Jemma (135km), Soroako (21km), Kasiguncu (153km), Poso (151km)
• Ports: Pomalaa (189km), Mangkasa Terminal (59km), Malili (65km), Kolonodale (59km), Poso (150km)

Based on an automated impact model, this earthquake, which occurred in a region with high vulnerability to natural disasters, has potentially a low humanitarian impact.
Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.
<table><tbody><tr><td>Event Date Univ. Time: </td><td>Tue, 2/15/2011 13:33 UTC</td></tr> <tr><td>European Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 2/15/2011 14:33 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)</td></tr> <tr><td>East America Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 2/15/2011 08:33 EST (New York, Washington)</td></tr> <tr><td>West America Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 2/15/2011 05:33 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)</td></tr> <tr><td>East Asia Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 2/15/2011 22:33 JTI (Tokyo)</td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">This email report was automatically created by a computer at: 2/15/2011 1:54:04 PM UTC (20 minutes after the event)</td></tr> </tbody></table> See the GDACS website for live news coverage (including OCHA Situation Reports), the full earthquake report .
For information on emergency response, please consult the GDACS Virtual OSOCC.

Earthquake Event

Characteristics

• Source: World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC) M
• Magnitude: 6.1 M
• Depth: 20.6 km
• Location (Lat/Long): -2.4701 | 121.5409
• Country: Indonesia
• Province: Sulawesi Tengah
• Region: Sulawesi
• UTC/GMT (Greenwich time): 2/15/2011 1:33:53 PM
• Estimated local solar time: 2/15/2011 9:40:03 PM

Population Density near epicenter (people/km²). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="3">

Population Data​

</th> </tr> <tr> <th>Radius (km)</th> <th>Population</th> <th>Density (people/km?)</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">1</td> <td style="text-align: right;">1 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">1 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">2</td> <td style="text-align: right;">30 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">2 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">5</td> <td style="text-align: right;">943 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">12 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">10</td> <td style="text-align: right;">3501 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">11 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">20</td> <td style="text-align: right;">25485 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">20 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">50</td> <td style="text-align: right;">367515 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">46 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">100</td> <td style="text-align: right;">582087 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">18 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">200</td> <td style="text-align: right;">2572640 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">20 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> The population in the area of this earthquake is 46 people/km?.
The earthquake occurred at 21h local time. At this time a day, more people are at home and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing residential buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.
Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.
Indonesia has a GDP per capita of 961 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of low resilience.
Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Indonesia a high vulnerability.
<table style="border-collapse: collapse; border: 1px none;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="2" valign="top"> ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Indonesia</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;" colspan="2" valign="top">

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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" bgcolor="#ecdb88" valign="top"> Overall situation</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">Human Development </td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Human Poverty​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" bgcolor="#ecdb88" valign="top"> Exposure to Major Disasters</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Natural Disasters​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Conflicts​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" bgcolor="#ecdb88" valign="top"> Humanitarian effects of population movement</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Refugees</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Internally Displaced People</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" bgcolor="#ecdb88" valign="top"> Health and Nutrition</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Undernourishment</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Mortality rates</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" bgcolor="#ecdb88" valign="top"> Donor contributions</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Official Development assistance</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8">

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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="border-top-style: solid;"> Source ECHO
Key: Bad - Medium - Good - No data</td></tr> </tbody></table> Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 43.569% and the maximum altitude is 2380 m. Since this is a medium slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is medium. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Tsunami: No tsunami risk.

 

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